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The cryptocurrency world is buzzing with anticipation as betting markets suggest a high likelihood of former President Donald Trump establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve upon his potential return to office.

Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket have seen remarkable odds emerging around Trump’s potential cryptocurrency strategy. On Kalshi, a US derivatives exchange, bettors have set the probability of Trump creating a national Bitcoin reserve in 2026 at nearly 70%, while Polymarket users predict a 42% chance within his first 100 days in office.

These prediction platforms have gained significant credibility, particularly after accurately forecasting the outcomes of previous political events. Their trading volumes during the US presidential race exceeded $4 billion, and they proved more precise than traditional polling methods.

Trump’s commitment to cryptocurrency appears increasingly serious. During the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville, Tennessee, he pledged to create a ‘strategic national Bitcoin reserve’ and promised that his administration would never sell government Bitcoin holdings. This stance aligns with growing legislative interest, such as Senator Cynthia Lummis’s proposed BITCOIN Act, which would mandate the Treasury Department to acquire 1 million BTC over five years.

Recent reports suggest Trump’s cryptocurrency vision might extend beyond Bitcoin. The New York Post revealed he is considering expanding the potential reserve to include other cryptocurrencies like USD Coin, Solana, and XRP. Furthermore, he is reportedly planning an executive order that would designate crypto as a national priority.

Industry experts, including cryptocurrency researcher CoinShares, believe establishing a Bitcoin reserve could dramatically accelerate cryptocurrency adoption. They argue that such a move would have a more profound long-term impact than the recent Bitcoin ETF launches.

The potential implications are significant. A national Bitcoin reserve would not only validate cryptocurrency’s legitimacy but could also position the United States at the forefront of digital financial innovation. As betting markets continue to show increased confidence, the cryptocurrency community watches with keen interest.

While these predictions remain speculative, they reflect growing institutional and political interest in cryptocurrencies. The next few months will be crucial in determining whether Trump’s cryptocurrency promises translate into concrete policy actions.

作者 BTC Miner

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