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The potential long-term impact of Trump’s pro-crypto policies has become a significant topic of discussion in the cryptocurrency industry, with experts suggesting that their survival depends on complex political dynamics.

At the heart of this uncertainty is the delicate balance of political power in Washington, D.C. Adam O’Brien, CEO of Bitcoin Well, believes that the longevity of these policies hinges on the potential succession of Vice President JD Vance in 2029. O’Brien suggests that if Vance follows Trump, the crypto-friendly policies are likely to maintain their momentum.

However, the political landscape presents numerous challenges. The narrow Republican majority in the House of Representatives, which is expected to shift in the 2026 midterm elections, creates significant uncertainty. Legislative experts like Joe Doll estimate that the Trump administration has approximately 24 months to implement substantial crypto policies.

Former House Speaker Paul Ryan has emphasized the importance of bipartisan cooperation in crypto regulation. He highlighted the challenges of passing crypto policy reforms, noting the requirement of at least 60 votes and the Republicans’ slim four-seat majority in the House.

Interestingly, Lee Bratcher from the Texas Blockchain Council offers a more optimistic perspective. He argues that the 2024 election results have created a political environment where representatives are less likely to oppose cryptocurrency initiatives, driven by industry advocacy and growing public support.

The potential vulnerability of executive orders presents another critical consideration. Such policies are significantly easier to overturn by subsequent administrations compared to legislation passed through Congress. This means that the long-term sustainability of Trump’s crypto policies could be at risk if Democrats regain control of the presidency and Congress.

The cryptocurrency industry is watching these developments closely, recognizing that the future of crypto regulation in the United States remains a complex and evolving landscape. The interplay between political leadership, industry advocacy, and legislative processes will ultimately determine the fate of these pro-crypto policies.

As the political chess game continues, stakeholders in the cryptocurrency ecosystem are preparing for potential shifts, emphasizing the need for robust, bipartisan approaches to crypto regulation that can withstand changes in political leadership.

作者 BTC Miner

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